Is Stage-Gate still fit for purpose in coatings R&D?

Why Stage-Gate still matters in coatings R&D, and how a risk-based, Agile and AI-enabled approach can turn it from a bureaucratic process into a system for making better decisions.

Dr Stuart Smith•October 28, 2026•5 min read

I’ve spent much of my career working across R&D, technical development, innovation and commercialisation.

One question I increasingly hear is:

Is Stage-Gate still relevant in the 21st century?

My answer is yes, but not the Stage-Gate many organisations are still using (the original model by Robert Cooper was introduced nearly 40 years ago!).

The problem isn’t the Stage-Gate process itself

The problem is when it becomes a bureaucratic process rather than a system for making better decisions.

The coatings industry has changed. Developing a paint or coating today is considerably more complex than simply finding a formulation that works.

R&D teams are dealing with:

  • Increasing regulatory pressure
  • Sustainability and carbon reduction
  • Raw-material availability and volatility
  • New application technologies
  • Shorter development timescales
  • More demanding customer requirements
  • Global supply-chain complexity
  • Increasing pressure on R&D productivity
  • AI, modelling and digitalisation

And perhaps most importantly, customers increasingly expect suppliers of coatings to solve problems, rather than simply develop products.

So should we abandon Stage-Gate? I don’t believe we should, but rather it should be re-invented for a modern age!

Stage-Gate should manage uncertainty, not paperwork

A traditional approach can look something like:

Idea → Research → Formulation → Testing → Scale-up → Launch

The danger is that completing the activities becomes the objective.

A better question at every stage is:

“What uncertainty have we removed?”

For example:

  • Early stage — Do we understand the customer problem?
  • Feasibility — Is the science credible?
  • Development — Can we achieve the required performance?
  • Scale-up — Can we manufacture it robustly?
  • Validation — Does it work in the customer’s real-world application?
  • Launch — Does the commercial case still make sense?

This changes the role of the Gate.

The Gate isn’t simply: “Have we completed the required paperwork?”

It becomes: “Do we now have enough evidence to justify the next investment?”

That is a very different proposition.

R&D needs permission to fail (fast and hard)

This is particularly important in coatings R&D. Innovation by its very nature will involve uncertainty.

  • Some formulations will fail.
  • Some technologies won’t scale.
  • Some customer requirements may prove to be unrealistic.
  • Some promising technologies will become uneconomic.
  • And some projects should be stopped.

Stopping a project isn’t necessarily an R&D failure. Continuing to invest in a project when the evidence says it shouldn’t continue is a management failure.

A good Stage-Gate process creates the environment in which teams can identify failure early, learn from it and redirect resources. It’s important to be able to “fail fast and fail hard”.

But Stage-Gate doesn’t have to be linear

This is where I think the biggest opportunity exists.

Within each Stage, R&D can operate in an Agile way:

Hypothesis → Experiment → Data → Learning → Reformulation → Experiment

Repeat. Learn. Adapt. Then come to the Gate with better evidence.

In other words:

  • Agile can manage the speed of learning within the Stage.
  • Stage-Gate can manage the quality of investment decisions between Stages.

They can be complementary frameworks rather than competing ones.

The future is risk-based Stage-Gate

Not every coatings project needs the same governance.

A colour adjustment or a change in viscosity specification to an existing product, for example, shouldn’t require the same process as introducing a completely new resin technology into a globally regulated market.

Stage-Gate process complexity should therefore be proportional to:

Risk × Investment × Uncertainty × Commercial Impact

Low-risk projects should move quickly. High-risk projects need deeper technical, regulatory and commercial scrutiny.

So-called “Stage-Gate Lite” processes can reduce the administrative load for low-risk projects by removing the need for the complete oversight required for higher-risk projects.

The framework should provide discipline without suffocating innovation.

And then there is AI…

AI and digitalisation could fundamentally change how coatings R&D operates.

Imagine combining decades of formulation data locked away in company reports with:

  • Predictive modelling
  • Design of Experiments
  • Machine learning
  • Raw-material databases
  • Automated laboratory testing
  • Regulatory intelligence
  • Customer performance data

We can potentially move away from “Let’s formulate and see what happens” to “Which experiment will give us the most valuable information?”

That is a major shift.

But AI doesn’t remove the need for Stage-Gate; arguably it makes its use more important.

  • A prediction in a computer model isn’t validation of the system’s performance.
  • An AI-generated formulation isn’t a commercial product.

Data still needs to be challenged, tested and converted into evidence that can be relied upon to show whether a coating system meets the specification it was designed for.

What should the modern coatings Stage-Gate look like?

For me, it should connect:

  1. Customer need
  2. Scientific hypothesis
  3. Technical feasibility
  4. Formulation robustness
  5. Manufacturing scalability
  6. Regulatory compliance
  7. Sustainability
  8. Customer validation
  9. Commercial value
  10. Launch and learning

Critically, these shouldn’t be isolated functions. R&D, technical service, manufacturing, procurement, regulatory, quality, marketing, sales and finance need to be involved at the appropriate points.

Because a technically successful coating system isn’t necessarily a successful product.

The real purpose of R&D

Perhaps the biggest change we need to make is how we measure R&D.

We shouldn’t simply ask: “How many projects did we complete?”

We should ask:

  • How much uncertainty did we remove?
  • How quickly did we learn?
  • How effectively did we allocate resources?
  • How many technical successes became commercial successes?

And ultimately:

Did we create something customers value and the business can deliver profitably and sustainably?

That’s why I believe Stage-Gate still has a very important role in coatings R&D. But the Stage-Gate of the future shouldn’t be a rigid linear process. It should be a dynamic decision-making framework that combines scientific freedom with commercial discipline.

The objective shouldn’t be to put innovation into a box driven by R&D. It should be to create the conditions in which the right innovations get the right resources at the right time, the wrong ones are stopped early, and the whole business, across multiple functions, is involved in the process.

I’d be interested to hear how other coatings and materials R&D leaders are approaching this.

Is your Stage-Gate process accelerating innovation, or slowing it down?

Developing or scaling a new coatings technology?

Verdean works with science-led organisations to bridge the gap between technical development and commercial application.

Dr Stuart Smith

Dr Stuart Smith

Founder & Managing Director

Dr Stuart Smith is the founder of Verdean Consultancy. With 30+ years of experience in coatings, chemicals, and advanced materials, Stuart brings deep technical expertise combined with commercial acumen to help businesses turn technical challenges into competitive advantage.

Published on October 28, 2026